Right now
The most recent data we hold from NOAA arrived 32 minutes ago, and this point is not in it. We record detections, not passes: an absence is not proof that nothing is there.
2 other detections within 20 km in the last 24 hours, the nearest <1 km from here.
This alert expired on 2 October 2026 at 14:00 UTC. It is kept here as a record.
It is one of only 3 we have recorded within 20 km of this point since 2 October 2026.
What the source measured
NOAA reported: Flash Flood Warning issued October 2 at 8:06AM CDT until October 2 at 9:00AM CDT by NWS Fort Worth TX
Urban PEI: 15,724 within a heuristic 50 km radius; not unique people.
Nearby, since 2 October 2026
- October 2, 2026 · score 28 · 8.8 km
How we know
One source: NOAA. Not yet confirmed by a second, independent source.
Our own score for this event is 28 out of 100.
This is our versioned heuristic index, not source severity or a calibrated probability. Urban PEI does not count unique people.
Computed under scoring rules v5. Rows carrying other versions were judged by different rules and are not directly comparable.
Event Data
| Type | Severe Weather |
| Severity | Medium |
| Calamity Score (ours) | 28 / 100 |
| Legacy data-support index | 0.80/1 |
| Coordinates | 31.7379, -97.7074 |
| Nearest City | Gatesville (33 km) |
| Urban exposure index (PEI) | 15.7K within 50 km |
| Impact Tier | significant |
| Timestamp | 2026-10-02T13:06:00.000Z |
| Source | https://api.weather.gov/alerts/urn%3Aoid%3A2.49.0.1.840.0.2efc5a4de1766fa40f050d998334a46cfb5cfc26.001.1 |
Physical priority index · v5. Heuristic priority, not calibrated probability, predictive accuracy or damage. The legacy data-support index combines assigned source support and field availability. Urban PEI is distance-weighted and does not count unique people; zero does not establish that nobody is present. Model cards.
Source and revision timeline
Source: noaa. Occurrence: 2026-10-02T13:06:00.000Z.
First archived: 2026-10-02T13:11:29.144Z. Material modification: not recorded.
Retained revisions are prospective; earlier versions may be unavailable. No revision entry does not prove that a record never changed.
Score Breakdown
Technical Details
| Event | Flash Flood Warning |
| MessageId | urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.2efc5a4de1766fa40f050d998334a46cfb5cfc26.001.1 |
| Urgency | Immediate |
| Certainty | Likely |
| AreaDesc | Coryell, TX; Lampasas, TX; Bosque, TX; Bosque, TX; Hill, TX |
| Headline | Flash Flood Warning issued October 2 at 8:06AM CDT until October 2 at 9:00AM CDT by NWS Fort Worth TX |
| Expires | 2026-10-02T09:00:00-05:00 |
| SenderName | NWS Fort Worth TX |
| HasExactCoords | true |
| MergedCount | 3 |
| MergedIds | ["noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.ab244a09070aab8d6bb87f6a4dc2a35e0c8af0d7.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.d5789941d1a84c0812c32a84baf77ac962591e0a.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.ba45f14e204fa21728265545b5438222002fc1e2.001.1"] |
Safety Information
During flooding: never walk, swim, or drive through floodwaters. Six inches of moving water can knock you down, and one foot of water can sweep away a vehicle. Move to higher ground if waters rise. After flooding, avoid contact with floodwater which may contain sewage, chemicals, or debris. Follow local emergency service guidance.
Series begins 8 March 2026. Comparisons refer to that period only. Collection gap: 14-26 August 2026.
This data is aggregated algorithmically from scientific sources. Not a replacement for official emergency warnings.
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